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    Poker Statistics — Every Number in One Place

    Poker is a game of decisions under uncertainty, and numbers are what turn a guess into a decision. This page collects every statistic that recurs in every hand: preflop probabilities, completion odds, hand-versus-hand equities, and the performance metrics professionals use to measure themselves.

    • Odds of being dealt pocket aces: 1 in 221 (0.45%)
    • Odds of any pocket pair preflop: 5.9% — roughly once every 17 hands
    • A flopped flush draw completes by the river 35% of the time
    • An open-ended straight draw completes 31.5% of the time
    • A pair against two overcards (AK vs QQ) runs about 55/45
    • Your pocket pair flops a set 11.8% of the time
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    Preflop probabilities

    Pocket aces: 0.45% (1 in 221). Any specific pair: exactly the same. Any pocket pair: 5.9%. AK including suited: 1.2%. AK suited only: 0.3%. Any two suited cards: 23.5%. A premium hand (AA–QQ, AK): about 2.6% — roughly once every 38 hands. These numbers explain why patience is not a style but mathematics. Recommended ranges are in the preflop chart.

    Completion odds from the flop

    Flush draw (9 outs): 35% by the river, 19% on the next card alone. Open-ended straight draw (8 outs): 31.5% / 17%. Gutshot (4 outs): 16.5% / 8.5%. Two overcards (6 outs): 24% / 13%. Combo draw (15 outs): 54% — sometimes a favourite against top pair. The 2/4 rule: multiply outs by 2 for one card, by 4 for two. Full detail on the outs page and pot odds.

    Hand-versus-hand equities

    Pair against two lower cards: ~83%. Pair against two overcards (77 vs AK): ~52% for the pair — the classic coin flip. Pair against a lower pair: ~81%. AK vs AQ: ~73% (domination). Suited vs offsuit, same hand: only about 2–4% extra. That last number surprises people — suitedness is worth less than it feels, but enough to justify opening from late position.

    Hand-ranking probabilities

    Out of five random cards: royal flush 1 in 649,740. Straight flush 1 in 72,193. Quads 1 in 4,165. Full house 1 in 694. Flush 1 in 509. Straight 1 in 255. Three of a kind 1 in 47. Two pair 1 in 21. In seven-card Texas Hold\'em the numbers are far higher — a full house appears in around 2.6% of hands that reach showdown. Full ranking table in poker hands.

    Performance metrics — measuring a player

    VPIP — percentage of hands where money goes in voluntarily. Healthy 6-max range: 22–28%. PFR — preflop raise percentage. Healthy: 18–24%. AF (aggression factor) — bets and raises versus calls. Healthy: 2–3. 3-bet% — 6–9%. WTSD (went to showdown) — 24–28%. BB/100 — big blinds won per 100 hands; 5 BB/100 is excellent at micro stakes. More in player types.

    Variance, volume and sample size

    The most common mistake is drawing conclusions from 500 hands. In cash games you need 50,000–100,000 hands before results reflect skill rather than luck; in tournaments, 500–1,000 events. That is why bankroll management is not a suggestion but a survival condition — read bankroll management and variance in poker.

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    Frequently Asked Questions

    What are the odds of being dealt pocket aces?
    0.45%, or roughly 1 in 221 hands. Exactly the same odds apply to every other specific pocket pair.
    What are the odds of completing a flush draw?
    With nine outs on the flop, roughly 35% by the river and about 19% on the next card alone.
    What is the rule of 2 and 4 in poker?
    A shortcut for odds: multiply your outs by 2 for the next card and by 4 for two cards to come. It is accurate to within one or two percent.
    What is BB/100 and what counts as good?
    BB/100 is big blinds won per 100 hands. 5 BB/100 is an excellent result at low stakes, and 2–3 BB/100 is very strong at mid stakes.
    How many hands do I need to know if I am a winning player?
    At least 50,000 to 100,000 hands in cash games, or 500 to 1,000 tournaments, for variance to even out.